New Security Issues in Northern Europe, edited by Clive Archer, is a comprehensive analysis of the security issues facing
the states of Northern Europe, with particular emphasis on the European Security and
Defense Policy (ESDP) as the institutional framework for addressing national security
problems of these states. It is chiefly intended for the advanced student and practitioner
of national security policy, though the theoretical aspects, in the form of using
the dominant international relations theories as a tool for evaluating the current
geopolitical situation, do receive their due.
The book takes the country case study approach to examining each country’s set of
unique security concerns, and the relevance of both NATO and ESDP in addressing them.
In that respect, the country study approach is invaluable in illustrating the difficulty
of crafting a security policy for an era where there is not a single looming and unifying
national security threat of existential magnitude. Even though the book’s focus is
on the states of Northern Europe only, the lessons of its participation in ESDP are
applicable to the entirety of the continent and are an illustration of problems likely
to be faced by states in other parts of the world attempting to establish a regional
collective security framework.
For even though this book covers only seven countries of a single region in Europe,
the divergence of interests and dissimilarity of security cultures is highly instructive.
These seven countries can be broadly grouped into three categories. The first is represented
by Sweden and Finland, non-NATO members committed to the principle of armed neutrality
during the Cold War era. From their perspective, ESDP represents a departure, however
modest, from the long-established norm of neutrality, even as they acknowledge the
importance of the new, unconventional security threats. Sweden’s Cold War-era strategy
of deterrence through denial has been replaced by a focus on security threats further
afield, and a determination that its security interests are best served by international
crisis management. Even though Sweden is no longer as strongly committed to its neutrality,
it nevertheless remains mistrustful of alliance commitments. Similarly, Finland,
which shares Sweden’s commitment to neutrality, has reoriented its national security
policy toward the more unconventional security threats characterizing the post-Cold
war environment. The second set of states is represented by NATO members Denmark and
Norway for whom ESDP represents a not entirely welcome distraction from its NATO commitments.
Denmark views ESDP relatively coolly so as not to jeopardize its security ties with
the United States via NATO. Norway’s commitment to ESDP is similarly being mitigated
by the continuing importance of NATO. Finally, the study covers the three newly independent
post-Soviet “Baltic States” of Lithuania, Latvia, and Estonia which, due to the proximity
of Russia, tend to
regard it as their most immediate security concern and therefore see their commitments
to NATO as more relevant to their security needs. To be sure, Estonia represents
an exception of sorts, as it has been able to reconcile its commitment to NATO with
active ESDP participation. The differences in national security foci and cultures,
even among this relatively homogeneous group of Northern European states, are a good
illustration of the reasons why the creation of a security identity for the European
Union has proven so difficult, especially in view of the looming shadow of NATO.
The discussion of the relative importance of ESDP and NATO, at least in case of states
like Norway and the Baltic States that are NATO members is particularly instructive.
It would appear that the relative weakness of ESDP is in part due to its focus on
non-military threats (i.e., environmental disasters, sudden refugee migrations) and
threats emanating from non-state actors (terrorism, organized crime). The difficulty
in mustering support for these commitments, and the apparent difficulty in defeating
these threats is, paradoxically, due to the very weakness of these threats. Since
they do not pose an existential threat to any of the states of Northern Europe, the
allocation of resources to combat them is consequently lower than to NATO. Moreover,
NATO today still benefits from its Cold War-era combination of sense of urgency and
unity of purpose in its focus on the Soviet threat; the national case studies reveal
that ESDP is not able to tap into a similar sense of urgency or unity of purpose,
as the security preoccupations of the various member states vary considerably, with
ESDP’s concerns ranging from counter-terrorism to the problems of population migrations
and environmental disasters.
As noted earlier, the authors and the editor of the book should be lauded for having
attempted to apply international relations theory to the discussion of security policy,
an attempt that is rarer than it should be, for the academic communities that devote
themselves to security policy theory on the one hand and international relations theory
on the other do not cross-pollinate often enough. However, the theoretical discussion
raises the intriguing question as to the relevance of ESDP in situations involving
threats other than non-state actors. While, at least for the moment, the importance
of NATO has somewhat receded due to the near-zero likelihood of armed interstate conflict
in this part of Europe, should the evolution of Russian internal politics take it
in the direction of renewed hostility toward the West it might be instructive to speculate
what role ESDP might play in the security policies of the countries that are the subject
of the study. The authors, in their discussion of the relatively low commitment of
resources to ESDP (low by comparison to the resource commitment to NATO), indirectly
point in that direction, since even given the relatively benign security situation
in Europe, none of the countries in question is willing to fully embrace ESDP or (where
applicable) jettison its commitments to NATO.
The flaws of the book are minor. It would have benefited, for example, from an expanded
treatment of the global context of ESDP policies, and the trends in the areas of most
likely security concerns. While the Cold War is well over, the looming shadow of
Russia’s own economic and national security issues is of crucial importance to both
the development of the ESDP and the contributions of the Nordic and Baltic states.
The recent “planting” of a Russian flag on the bottom of the Arctic Ocean, evidently
intended to signify
Russia’s intent to contest the control of the Arctic’s natural resources (specifically,
oil), may be a portent of renewed major power competition in which Northern Europe
will once again find itself the battleground. Similarly, while the security concerns
of Poland and the Czech Republic are necessarily outside the purview of this book,
the Russian placement of ballistic missiles in the Kaliningrad oblast, ostensibly
in response to the US ABM system deployment in Central Europe, will inevitably affect
the security of Northern Europe. To be sure, the developments in the Russian Federation
are briefly addressed in the overview chapter on the security of Northern Europe in
the post-Cold War era and in individual chapters. However, here the country-based
approach of the book becomes something of a weakness. Given that, fortunately, Northern
Europe is not an exporter of security problems to the rest of the world, the sources
of its security problems lie on its regional and global periphery and therefore the
security policy will naturally be reactive in character, with Russia being both the
most proximate and likely source of security concerns for the states of Northern Europe.
In that respect, a separate chapter on Russia would have been a welcome inclusion.
Similarly, to the extent that European states’ commitment to NATO is in large part
conditional on the assumption that the United States will not only continue to play
a vital and leading role in that alliance but also that it will resume the tradition
of respecting the interests of its NATO allies (a tradition suspended, if not broken,
by the Bush Administration following its snub of NATO’s offer of assistance in response
to terror attacks of 9/11 and subsequent rhetorical division of Europe into “old”
and “new”), an expanded treatment of the role of the United States would likewise
be beneficial
to improving the understanding of the future of ESDP. Therefore the answer to the
question of the proper scope and even the appropriateness of ESDP as a vehicle for
Northern European collective security will depend largely on events outside Northern
Europe, a reflection of the continued growth of complex global linkages.
Assistant Professor, Dept. of Political Science, University of Wisconsin, Oshkosh